by
ContraTory
on Tue 15 Sep 2009 13:47 BST
Of the latest dire opinion poll ratings for Gordon Brown and Labour published in The Times today, Peter Riddell and Philip Webster comment,
“The Tories are, however, doing less well than Labour in opposition in 1996 (on 50 per cent) or the Tories in 1978 (48 per cent).”
I have already touched briefly upon the importance of comparing like for like. Selective use of opinion poll results is also unhelpful. It should be recalled that 1978 is the year the myth spinners would have us believe Jim Callaghan would have defeated Margaret Thatcher had he possessed the judgement to call a General Election. In the summer of 1978, the Conservatives were marginally ahead of Labour in the opinion polls, but five per cent behind by the following October/November.
It follows that at this stage of the game, it is not significant that David Cameron has failed to poll Tony Blair’s fifty per cent or Margaret Thatcher’s forty-eight per cent, particularly as the Conservatives have maintained a healthy overall lead in the opinion polls since October 2007.